MARKET REGIME
US Equity Β· NASDAQ Sectors Β· Updated 2026-11-13
π‘ Risk-OFF
Growth vs Defensive spread
β‘ Risk-ON
β Mixed
π‘ Risk-OFF
SECTOR ROTATION β YTD 2026
β‘
XLE
Energy
+43.7%
π₯
XLV
Healthcare
+22.3%
π»
XLK
Technology
+20.9%
π
XLP
Cons. Staples
+19.5%
βοΈ
XLB
Materials
+14.9%
π’
XLRE
Real Estate
+12.5%
π
XLI
Industrials
+8.1%
π¦
XLF
Financials
+7.3%
π‘
XLU
Utilities
+3.6%
π
XLY
Cons. Discretionary
+2.4%
π‘
XLC
Comm. Services
-7.2%
GROWTH: XLK XLI XLY XLC XLF
DEFENSIVE: XLP XLU XLV XLRE
MACRO ENVIRONMENT
10Y Yield
5.10%
2Y Yield
4.86%
2Yβ10Y Spread
-0.24%
Fed Funds Rate
3.88%
Fear Signal
XLPβXLK -0.380 Defensives hiding
AI REGIME READ
β loadingβ¦
Generating regime analysisβ¦
SECTOR CORRELATION MATRIX β YTD 2026
| XLE | XLK | XLI | XLRE | XLB | XLP | XLU | XLF | XLC | XLV | XLY | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLE | 1.00 | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.03 | 0.03 | -0.18 | -0.26 | -0.12 | -0.36 |
| XLK | -0.17 | 1.00 | 0.56 | -0.04 | 0.28 | -0.38 | -0.08 | 0.19 | 0.18 | -0.10 | 0.45 |
| XLI | -0.17 | 0.56 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.62 | 0.07 | 0.31 | 0.46 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.51 |
| XLRE | -0.10 | -0.04 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.48 | 0.35 | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| XLB | -0.10 | 0.28 | 0.62 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| XLP | 0.03 | -0.38 | 0.07 | 0.53 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.52 | 0.24 |
| XLU | 0.03 | -0.08 | 0.31 | 0.58 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.11 | -0.01 | 0.24 | 0.10 |
| XLF | -0.18 | 0.19 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.56 |
| XLC | -0.26 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.22 | -0.01 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.63 |
| XLV | -0.12 | -0.10 | 0.24 | 0.51 | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| XLY | -0.36 | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.24 | 0.10 | 0.56 | 0.63 | 0.33 | 1.00 |
Best diversifier: XLE (avg corr 0.152)
Tightest pair: XLY (0.626)